A few years ago, I would have said p15 because of the local shape urgency. These days with AI's lessons I would see the unenclosed high corner at lower right, a class 2 on the LZ Opening Gospel, and be very tempted to play there. The gospel does allow departures for urgent areas, so then the question becomes is p15 sufficiently urgent to ignore the corner? Doesn't seem an obvious decision to me, but given Bill's clue that Elf's 2nd choice got much fewer playouts would tip me to saying it likes the corner, because I could believe it likes the corner a lot more, but not that it would like the extend a lot more and barely consider corner.
Some analysis from me and KataGo at 0 komi. Spoiler alert, closing corner is by far top choice at 10.8% winrate and white -7.3 points, p15 extend drops that to 9.2% and -7.8 points.
If white extends is it sente, and if black does answer is white's position better or worse from the exchange if then take corner? If black answers with one-point jump (kosumi another choice) then now white is 11.6% or -7.0 points, so this was an improvement to get more liberties to the stick in sente, even though black can then pincer them and you might wonder if they are heavy.

Good exchange for white
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[go]$$Wcm22 Good exchange for white
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So to punish extend black should tenuki and take the corner. The traditional thought is extend is sente, because it threatens attachment to seal black in and build thickness, but like the 3-4 high approach joseki bots say that speed in the opening is important, and indeed KG wants to answer black's corner move in the corner. This is to stop it reverting to the "bad" high approach to 3-4 where black can just attach under for a big happy corner.

KG agrees corners are important
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[go]$$Wcm22 KG agrees corners are important
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$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]
So what if white follows up his claim of p15 being sente? Interesting KG really doesn't like 26 here (double hane or just n17 extend directly better), as that exchange makes n18 gote so black doesn't even push again and just quickly attaches at the lower right for a big corner. White doesn't fear black p16 bulge and just extends to o15 in reply and doesn't mind black cutting (support on top side helps, and black can't allow white n18 block in sente so when crawling there white can jump so cut not so severe). Interestingly white should then avalanche. White is down to 6.9% or -8.7 points, so whilst it's a loss, it's far from catastrophic (given size of middlegame fighting mistakes) as Elf's big winrate swings suggest.

My extend was sente!
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[go]$$Wcm22 My extend was sente!
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So if white takes the big corner move, what is black's follow up? Hane is obvious powerful shape hane at head of 2, white wants to hane back, even though there's a cut. Is that anything to fear? No, because 26 for 27 is a wonderful useful outside stone for useless inside stone exchange for white, and the marked black stone has become an inefficient empty triangle. White can just sacrifice 2 stones and take sente.

Not worried about black cut
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[go]$$Wcm22 Not worried about black cut
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For similar reasons the double hane is not scary, white gets the nice free atari which is annoying aji to deal with: if black firmly ataris it with
a white is super happy to get
b in sente, if black extends at
c then later white can use the aji (e.g.
d), and if black keeps on pushing at
b then he can avoid capturing the cutting stone, but pushing white along the 5th line helps white make the group strong and surround the right side.

Not worried about double hane
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Wcm22 Not worried about double hane
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$$ | . . . . . . . . . . d . a 5 2 O O . . |
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$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . b 7 . . . . |
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So to prevent the lovely atari for white, black should just extend. Bots really don't like letting the opponent make beneficial exchanges in sente. Now the marked black stone is efficient / a pretty shape. Now white could extend on the right side, or tenuki. Did black really gain enough value for 2 extra moves in the local area when there are such big opening moves for the taking elsewhere?

Avoid atari to preserve good shape
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Wcm22 Avoid atari to preserve good shape
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$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]
Here's a sort of tewari argument that helps me appreciate why the hane is not super amazing for black. Let's rewind the right side to just the 5-3 and 5-4 points and white passes to give black sente. Black 1 closes the corner, a wonderful class 2 move from the LZOG. White 2 is likewise a class 2. These are the 2 biggest (gote) moves on this board. Next black plays 3, a very slow move to bolster his shimari towards the centre. The gospel only focuses on corner moves (ie something top left) doesn't even bother with side moves like
a, so centre moves like this are even lower priority. White then plays 4 bad move splatted against the shimari and black naturally answers at 5. For sure this is a bad exchange, but is it worse than black's 3? Probably not is my feeling but I didn't check with a bot. Then white continues with 6, which is terrible and heavy, but a lot of that is because it would then be black's move next and he could play p14, but now black has to pass and white can make the 8 for 9 exchange in sente and now those 3 stones, whilst plastered against a strong black position, could also be seen as kikashi against the reinforced shimari so could be used to help the right side or just sacrificed.

Tewari
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[go]$$Bc Tewari
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$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]

Sides before centre!
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[go]$$Bc Sides before centre!
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$$ | . X X X . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . O X O X X . . . , . . . . O , 2 . . |
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$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]