Unless otherwise stated all variations were at least looked at with 10k playouts.
With 50k playouts White's winrate after

is 83% according to Lizzie (actually White had a 80% winrate at move 38 already). But my heart sunk when I saw this atari.
$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O . . . . . . . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 . a . . , . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 . . . . . . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O . . . . . . . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 . a . . , . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 . . . . . . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]
My choice - due to concerns about my center group - would have been 'a' and Lizzie agrees but nonetheless the atari just loses 4%. (Btw, Black's cut was Lizzie's top choice by far.)
Until move

they followed the line Lizzie would have played too.
$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O 4 . . . . b . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 3 . . . d . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 5 7 . 9 c . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . 8 6 a . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------
- Click Here To Show Diagram Code
[go]$$Bcm79
$$ ---------------------------------------
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O . O O O X . . O X X . . . |
$$ | . . . O . O X O X , X . . O O X . . . |
$$ | . . . . . O X . X . X . X . . X . X . |
$$ | . O O . X X X . X . . . . . O . X O . |
$$ | . . X . . X O . O X X O O O . X . O . |
$$ | . . . . X X O . O O O X X O O . O . . |
$$ | . . X X O O 4 . . . . b . X O . . . . |
$$ | . . O O 1 3 . . . d . . X . . , . . . |
$$ | . . . . 2 5 7 . 9 c . . X X O O O O . |
$$ | . . . . 8 6 a . . . . . . O X . X X . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . O . . . . . , . . . . . , X . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . X . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ | . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
$$ ---------------------------------------[/go]

loses a whooping 11%! Lizzie's choice would have been 'a'.
But I - as White - would have been very, very scared after

... Lizzie agrees with White's handling of the attack but would have begun with forcing at 'b' before 'c'. I guess I could spend the rest of the afternoon figuring out, why this attachment "saves" White's group...
After Black answering 'c' at 'd', Lizzie gives White a winrate over 90%, so good job Sumire for judging/reading, that the center group was in no danger : )
Some general comments on imo interesting parts:

Of course no split!

Lizzie overwhelmingly prefers to attach below the hoshi right away. Not in terms of winrate but in terms of playouts: 75k to 2k, which would be attaching left of the bottom right komuku.

I thought this is too early but Lizzie (albeit prefering approaching the bottom left - just approaching! - and then pincer at the top) thinks this is okay winrate-wise (~1%).

Lizzie doesn't really consider this move very much with just 14 playouts to 20k, which would be attaching left of the bottom right komuku - just probing mind you! (

loses ~2%)

Lizzie prefers the shoulder-hit at M14 but that's minor winrate-wise (~-1.5%).

Gets some smack, though! (~-6%) Lizzie prefers the not-anything-strengthen-kosumi at K14.

Playouts-wise Lizzie prefers the mentioned attachment left of the bottom right komuku again (by a lot,

just gets 450 playouts. The attachment gets over 20k). Again just probing and then switching to the hane in the upper right at P18 (P18-Q18-N18-M18-P11). But winrate-wise it's not even ~1%.

Lizzie thinks this should be played in the opposite direction, that is extending at H15. With over 10k playouts Lizzie would also abandon this stone to play H15. (~-4.7%) But just extending first to H15 and then poking at N14 to show some kiai!

This seems too thin for Lizzie's taste? (~-8%) It prefers the attachment at G16.

also gets some heat from Lizzie (~-6%). Direction-wise it prefers the right side, either at the top (N18) or at P11. Although even after N18, Lizzie would play P11 right after that. I guess this covers the cut at L12?
But

gives the advantage right back to White (-~8%). Fighting spirit was called for: L13 and cut!
...so from

to

Black lost around 20% winrate according to Lizzie. The main reason being (I guess), Black did not really fight back.