Joseki data
Posted: Wed Aug 14, 2013 3:32 am
In general I think far too much emphasis is placed on josekis by weaker players, and westerners have two added encumbrances in that they are often used to the concept of memorising chess openings and they more often than not misuse the term joseki (it means simply plays that have become accepted as standard - although that implies both sides may be happy to accept the result it does not necessarily imply the result is equally beneficial to both). Despite that, I was provoked by recent joseki threads to add a little hard data to the mix. Make of it what you will.
I took the Suzuki/Kitani joseki dictionary which offers exactly 6,000 diagrams. I took 1,000 consecutive diagrams as a sample and counted the number of diagrams on the basis of the standard evaluations given. Some diagrams are just reference diagrams or starter positions so they do not show up in the total. Also some diagrams related to tenuki variations and I kept those separate. Although I took the standard evaluations as a basis, I collapsed all cases of advantage for Black into "B+", even though this ranges from "more promising for Black" to "White is crushed". But much more often than not the advantage marker was something middling like "better for Black". Similarly for White, of course. As mentioned above, the categories 'joseki' and 'even' are exclusive. Nevertheless, 'even' is better regarded as meaning 'well matched' or 'well balanced' given that Black has played first rather than 'equal'. 'Plausible' means what a pro might do in that situation, not that this pattern has necessarily occurred in practice. At your own discretion, you may wish to regard it as equivalent to 'even'. 'Other' means descriptive labels such as 'counterattack', 'trade', 'centre fight', etc.
All the positions show Back playing first and relate only to one-corner openings (and the sample was restricted to low approach against komoku). The 6,000-diagram book is now a little out of date, but that does not matter in this context.
832 LINES WITH ALTERNATING PLAYS
Joseki: 79
Even: 71
B+: 380
W+: 175
Plausible: 39
Unclear: 1
Ko: 10
Ladder: 8
Special case: 6
Other: 63
In addition, these results subsume 8 examples of trick moves (hamete) and 6 examples of semeais. 4 of the josekis are marked as 'old joseki'.
These figures show an overwhelming likelihood of lines ending in an implicitly unacceptable advantage for one side or the other, and of course Black (always moving first) owns the casino here. Kos, semeais and ladders are rather infrequent outcomes. Extrapolating to the full 6,000 diagrams, it seems there are only around 500 lines that are regarded as josekis in the proper sense. Apart from being learnable (if you really must go down that route), these are few enough plausibly to provide a means of benchmarking various evaluation systems.
109 LINES WITH ONE WHITE TENUKI
Joseki: 10
Even: 4
B+: 69
W+ 14
Plausible: 6
Ladder: 2
Special case: 1
Other: 3
Methinks much could be learnt from those cases where White gets an advantage despite having skipped a move!
I took the Suzuki/Kitani joseki dictionary which offers exactly 6,000 diagrams. I took 1,000 consecutive diagrams as a sample and counted the number of diagrams on the basis of the standard evaluations given. Some diagrams are just reference diagrams or starter positions so they do not show up in the total. Also some diagrams related to tenuki variations and I kept those separate. Although I took the standard evaluations as a basis, I collapsed all cases of advantage for Black into "B+", even though this ranges from "more promising for Black" to "White is crushed". But much more often than not the advantage marker was something middling like "better for Black". Similarly for White, of course. As mentioned above, the categories 'joseki' and 'even' are exclusive. Nevertheless, 'even' is better regarded as meaning 'well matched' or 'well balanced' given that Black has played first rather than 'equal'. 'Plausible' means what a pro might do in that situation, not that this pattern has necessarily occurred in practice. At your own discretion, you may wish to regard it as equivalent to 'even'. 'Other' means descriptive labels such as 'counterattack', 'trade', 'centre fight', etc.
All the positions show Back playing first and relate only to one-corner openings (and the sample was restricted to low approach against komoku). The 6,000-diagram book is now a little out of date, but that does not matter in this context.
832 LINES WITH ALTERNATING PLAYS
Joseki: 79
Even: 71
B+: 380
W+: 175
Plausible: 39
Unclear: 1
Ko: 10
Ladder: 8
Special case: 6
Other: 63
In addition, these results subsume 8 examples of trick moves (hamete) and 6 examples of semeais. 4 of the josekis are marked as 'old joseki'.
These figures show an overwhelming likelihood of lines ending in an implicitly unacceptable advantage for one side or the other, and of course Black (always moving first) owns the casino here. Kos, semeais and ladders are rather infrequent outcomes. Extrapolating to the full 6,000 diagrams, it seems there are only around 500 lines that are regarded as josekis in the proper sense. Apart from being learnable (if you really must go down that route), these are few enough plausibly to provide a means of benchmarking various evaluation systems.
109 LINES WITH ONE WHITE TENUKI
Joseki: 10
Even: 4
B+: 69
W+ 14
Plausible: 6
Ladder: 2
Special case: 1
Other: 3
Methinks much could be learnt from those cases where White gets an advantage despite having skipped a move!